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USA-Iran War News

The fast read on the US-Iran war — top developments first, then a scannable timeline across the ceasefire, cost, and casualties trackers. Every line sourced.

By Roman Kukhalashvili · Updated Jul 15, 2026 · 206 sources

Automated digest · data verified Jul 15, 2026

Breaking· 2026-07-14

Trump gives Iran a week to negotiate or face power-plant, bridge strikes

On Jul 14 President Trump said US strikes on Iran "will continue until I say enough" and warned Washington will start bombing Iran's power plants and bridges next week ("we're going to knock out all their power plants...unless they get to the table and negotiate") unless Tehran returns to talks, as CENTCOM carried out a fourth consecutive night of strikes and the reinstated US naval blockade of Iranian ports took effect at 4pm ET. Iran Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baqaei called threatening civilian energy infrastructure a "war crime" and said negotiation "can in no way be compatible with ultimatums," while Brent crude climbed as high as $87/bbl, its highest since June. The standoff follows the Jul 13 IRGC missile strikes that killed one Indian crew member and wounded eight aboard the UAE-flagged tankers Mombasa and Al Bahiyah in the Strait of Hormuz.

Source: CBS News ↗

Top developments

Ceasefire· Jul 14, 2026

CENTCOM 4th consecutive day of strikes (Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, Bandar Abbas); naval blockade on Iranian ports reimposed 4pm ET; Trump walks back 20% Hormuz toll; Kuwait reports 4 navy injured (worst since June airport attack); contested Iranian state-TV claim of 8 dead disputed by Bushehr official

US forces conducted a five-hour strike operation overnight into Jul 14 — the fourth consecutive day of strikes against Iran — hitting Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, and Bandar Abbas with precision munitions against coastal defense, missile/drone, and naval capabilities. An hour before the strikes concluded, CENTCOM reimposed the naval blockade against vessels transiting to and from Iranian ports and coastal areas at 4pm ET — the first reimposition since it was lifted in mid-June following the MOU signing — stating more than 20 US Navy warships and hundreds of aircraft are operating across the Middle East. President Trump walked back his floated 20% toll on Hormuz transit per Times of Israel/Washington Times reporting, while Iran's parliament tabled a bill asserting Iranian control over Hormuz passage. Kuwait's Ministry of Defense reported 4 navy personnel injured (no deaths) in an Iranian barrage of 5 cruise missiles, 1 ballistic missile, and 33 drones — per Bloomberg, the worst single-day toll since the June Kuwait International Airport attack; Bahrain intercepted incoming projectiles with sirens sounding and no reported casualties. Iranian state TV claimed 8 Iranian Air Force/Navy personnel killed in the Bandar Abbas/Bushehr strikes, but Bushehr's deputy governor Ehsan Jahaniyan said preliminary assessments showed no casualties in Bushehr city itself, and Xinhua separately reported "at least 3 killed, 4 injured" for the same strike round — three unreconciled figures. Separately, wire reporting specified the Pentagon's wounded figure at 414 (up from "more than 400"); the US KIA figure remains 14, unchanged from Jul 13. No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released; the $29B/$30B official pairing and $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate remain unchanged, though the Washington Times (Jul 14) reported House Republicans plan to advance the pending $87.6B supplemental via filibuster-proof budget reconciliation rather than a standard vote.

Stars and Stripes / CNBC / Bloomberg ↗via Ceasefire Status

War Cost· Jul 14, 2026

No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cost release; CENTCOM 4th consecutive day of strikes; naval blockade on Iranian ports reimposed 4pm ET; Washington Times: House GOP plans budget-reconciliation route for pending $87.6B supplemental; Trump walks back 20% Hormuz toll

July 14-15, 2026 — (1) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released for this window. The $29B Pentagon comptroller figure (Hurst, May 12) and the $30B OMB Director Vought testimony (Jun 30, surfaced Jul 7) remain the most recent official cumulative-cost figures; the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date; the $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES is unchanged — no official DoD/CSIS/CBO/CRS release ties the week's strikes to a revised cost figure. (2) Congressional development (not a cost figure): the Washington Times (Jul 14) reported House Republicans plan to advance the pending $87.6B supplemental via a filibuster-proof budget reconciliation bill rather than a standard appropriations vote, aiming to sideline Democratic opposition; House Speaker Johnson confirmed the Budget Committee is working on the first step of the reconciliation process. (3) Military context: CENTCOM conducted a fourth consecutive day of strikes on Iran overnight into Jul 14 (a five-hour operation hitting Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, and Bandar Abbas), immediately followed by reimposition of the naval blockade on Iranian ports at 4pm ET — the first blockade reimposition since it was lifted in mid-June following the MOU. Trump publicly walked back his floated 20% toll on Hormuz transit. Iran retaliated against Kuwait (5 cruise + 1 ballistic missile + 33 drones; 4 navy personnel injured, no deaths — the worst single-day toll since the June Kuwait airport attack) and Bahrain (intercepted, no casualties). (4) No new equipment-loss figures beyond CRS IN12692's 42-aircraft tally; COST_BREAKDOWN's Equipment Losses category is unchanged.

via War Cost Tracker

Casualties· Jul 14, 2026

CENTCOM 4th consecutive day of strikes (Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, Bandar Abbas); naval blockade on Iranian ports reimposed 4pm ET; Trump walks back 20% Hormuz toll; Kuwait reports 4 navy injured (worst since June airport attack); US WIA figure now 414; Lebanese MoH toll 4,324; contested Iranian state-TV claim of 8 dead disputed by Bushehr official

July 14-15, 2026. (1) CENTCOM strikes: US forces conducted a five-hour strike operation overnight into Jul 14 — the fourth consecutive day of strikes against Iran — hitting Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa, and Bandar Abbas with precision munitions against coastal defense, missile/drone, and naval capabilities, aimed at degrading Iran's ability to threaten Hormuz shipping. (2) Naval blockade reimposed: CENTCOM announced US forces resumed the naval blockade against vessels transiting to and from Iranian ports and coastal areas at 4pm ET Jul 14 — the first reimposition since the blockade was lifted in mid-June following the MOU signing — stating more than 20 US Navy warships and hundreds of aircraft are operating across the Middle East. (3) Trump walks back Hormuz toll: President Trump backed away from his floated 20% toll on Strait of Hormuz transit, per Times of Israel and Washington Times Jul 14 reporting, while moving to reinstate the naval blockade instead. Iran's parliament separately tabled a bill asserting Iranian control over Hormuz passage (Euronews). (4) Kuwait/Bahrain: Kuwait's Ministry of Defense reported 4 navy personnel injured (no deaths) in an Iranian barrage of 5 cruise missiles, 1 ballistic missile, and 33 drones Jul 14 — per Bloomberg, the worst single-day toll since the June Kuwait International Airport attack; Bahrain intercepted incoming projectiles with sirens sounding and no reported casualties. (5) US casualty bookkeeping: wire reporting (Business Standard, Spectrum News, Fox4/Fox10, ABC News, The Hill) specified the Pentagon's wounded figure at 414 — refining the "more than 400" figure cited Jul 13; the KIA figure remains 14, unchanged from the Jul 13 update. (6) Iranian casualty claims disputed: Iranian state TV claimed 8 Iranian Air Force/Navy personnel killed in the Bandar Abbas/Bushehr strikes, but Bushehr's deputy governor Ehsan Jahaniyan said preliminary assessments showed no casualties in Bushehr city itself, and Xinhua separately reported "at least 3 killed, 4 injured" for the same strike round — three unreconciled figures, none merged into the Iran Military KIA range. (7) Lebanon: Lebanese MoH cumulative toll rose to 4,324 killed / 12,221 wounded since Mar 2 (ABNA/L'Orient Today, statement covering the 48h period ending Jul 14) — up from 4,322/12,210. (8) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released for this window; the $29B (Hurst, May 12) / $30B (Vought, Jun 30) pairing remains the latest official cumulative cost, and the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress — the Washington Times (Jul 14) reported House Republicans plan to advance it via filibuster-proof budget reconciliation rather than a standard appropriations vote (see iranWarConfig.js).

via Casualties Tracker

Ceasefire· Jul 13, 2026

IRGC strikes two UAE-linked tankers in Omani waters (1 Indian crew killed); US official KIA tally rises 13→14; Trump floats 20% Hormuz toll, notifies Congress of resumed "limited" military action; Brent crude hits $83.30 (highest since Jun 12)

Iran's IRGC said it "struck and disabled" two tankers it called "rogue supertankers" — the Al-Bahiya and Mombasa — for allegedly disabling navigation systems and using a "mined route" through the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE Defense Ministry said Iranian cruise missiles struck both vessels in Omani territorial waters, killing one Indian crew member aboard Mombasa and injuring 6 Indian and 2 Ukrainian nationals; both tankers caught fire — the first confirmed fatality from a tanker strike since the ceasefire's Jul 8 rupture. Separately, the Washington Times/Las Vegas Sun (Jul 13) reported the Pentagon's officially published aggregate US death toll for Operation Epic Fury rose from 13 to 14, reflecting incorporation of Cmdr. Gabriel Edwards' Jul 1 non-hostile MH-60S Seahawk death into the published count (not a new combat death); wounded grew to "more than 400." CENTCOM again explicitly denied an Iranian propaganda claim of 3 US KIA in a Kuwait strike ("zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries"), and independent fact-checkers found the claim's photo was reused from a 2019 Saudi Aramco Abqaiq fire. Further reporting detailed the Jul 12 sea-drone strike: three Corsair unmanned surface vessels hit a submarine and ship-maintenance facility at Bandar Abbas Naval Base. Trump told Fox News "we've demolished their military" and that the US is "going to keep the Strait... We'll become the guardian of the Strait," floating a 20% US toll on Hormuz transit; the White House formally notified Congress that "limited" military action against Iran had resumed. Brent crude surged ~9.6% to settle at $83.30/bbl, its highest settle level since Jun 12. No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released; the $29B (Hurst, May 12) / $30B (Vought, Jun 30) pairing and $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate remain unchanged.

Washington Times / The Hill / CNBC ↗via Ceasefire Status

Timeline

Jul 13, 2026

War Cost

IRGC hits two UAE-linked tankers in Omani waters (1 Indian crew killed); US KIA official tally rises 13->14 (Navy pilot death incorporated); CENTCOM sea-drone strike detail (Bandar Abbas sub/ship maintenance facility); Trump floats 20% Hormuz toll, notifies Congress of resumed "limited" military action; Brent crude hits $83.30 (highest since Jun 12); no new official DoD cumulative cost figure

July 13-14, 2026. (1) Tanker attack: Iran's IRGC said it "struck and disabled" two tankers it called "rogue supertankers" — the Al-Bahiya and Mombasa — for allegedly disabling navigation systems and using a "mined route" through the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE Defense Ministry said Iranian cruise missiles struck both vessels in Omani territorial waters, killing one Indian crew member aboard Mombasa and injuring 6 Indian and 2 Ukrainian nationals; both tankers caught fire. (2) US casualty bookkeeping: the Washington Times and Las Vegas Sun (Jul 13) reported the Pentagon's officially published aggregate Operation Epic Fury death toll rose from 13 to 14, reflecting incorporation of Cmdr. Gabriel Edwards' Jul 1 non-hostile MH-60S Seahawk death (Arabian Sea) into the published count — not a new combat death; wounded grew to "more than 400" (majority TBI). The Intercept (Jul 13) separately cited an independent tally of 15 killed/520-543 wounded and flagged that DCAS is missing at least one known death (Maj. Sorffly Davius, died of sudden illness in Kuwait Mar 6, not officially counted). CENTCOM again explicitly denied an Iranian propaganda claim of 3 US KIA in a Kuwait strike ("zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries"); independent fact-checkers found the claim's photo was reused from a 2019 Saudi Aramco Abqaiq fire. (3) CENTCOM sea-drone detail: further reporting specified that three Corsair unmanned surface vessels struck a submarine and ship-maintenance facility at Bandar Abbas Naval Base — elaborating on the "one-way attack sea drones" first-use detail already logged in the Jul 12-13 entry above. (4) Trump statements: Trump told Fox News "we've demolished their military" and that the US is "going to keep the Strait, and we'll probably run it. We'll become the guardian of the Strait," while floating a 20% US toll on Hormuz transit; the White House formally notified Congress that "limited" military action against Iran had resumed. (5) Oil markets: Brent crude surged roughly 9.6% to settle at $83.30/bbl — its highest settle level since Jun 12 — on the tanker attacks and Hormuz uncertainty. (6) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released for this window; the $29B (Hurst, May 12) / $30B (Vought, Jun 30) pairing and the $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES remain unchanged; the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date.

via War Cost Tracker

Jul 13, 2026

Casualties

US official KIA tally rises 13->14 (Navy pilot death incorporated); Iran hits two UAE-linked tankers in Omani waters, 1 Indian crew killed; Iran's Kuwait "3 US KIA" claim debunked; Brent crude hits $83.30 (highest since Jun 12); Trump notifies Congress of resumed "limited" military action

July 13-14, 2026 — the first genuine change to the official US death toll since the ceasefire's collapse, plus a new tanker attack with a confirmed fatality. (1) US KIA tally rises: The Washington Times and Las Vegas Sun (Jul 13) reported the Pentagon's published Operation Epic Fury death toll rose from 13 to 14, reflecting the incorporation of Cmdr. Gabriel Edwards' Jul 1 non-hostile MH-60S Seahawk helicopter-crash death (Arabian Sea) into the official aggregate figure — this had previously been tracked in this config's highEst but not the official lowEst. The wounded count also grew to "more than 400," with the majority described as traumatic brain injuries. (2) Independent tally and DCAS gaps: The Intercept (Jul 13) reported an independent tally of 15 killed and 520-543 wounded, and noted the Defense Casualty Analysis System (DCAS) is missing at least one known death — Maj. Sorffly Davius, a New York Army National Guard signals officer who reportedly died of a sudden illness in Kuwait on Mar 6, 2026 — which is not officially counted as a war death. (3) Iran strikes two UAE-linked tankers: Iran's IRGC said it "struck and disabled" two tankers it called "rogue supertankers" — later identified as the Al-Bahiya and Mombasa — for allegedly disabling navigation systems and attempting a "mined route" through the Strait of Hormuz. The UAE Defense Ministry said Iranian cruise missiles struck both vessels while they were in Omani territorial waters, killing one Indian crew member aboard Mombasa and injuring 6 Indian and 2 Ukrainian nationals; both tankers were damaged and caught fire. (4) Kuwait "3 US KIA" claim debunked: CENTCOM again explicitly denied Iranian state-media claims that 3 US service members were killed in a Kuwait strike ("there are zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries in the region"); independent fact-checkers found the claim's accompanying photo was reused from a 2019 fire at Saudi Aramco's Abqaiq facility, unrelated to this conflict. (5) Trump statements and War Powers notice: Trump told Fox News "we've demolished their military" and that the US is "going to keep the Strait, and we'll probably run it. We'll become the guardian of the Strait," while separately floating a 20% US toll on Hormuz passage; the White House notified Congress that "limited" military action against Iran had resumed. (6) CENTCOM sea-drone strike detail: further reporting on the Jul 12 strike round specified that three Corsair unmanned surface vessels struck a submarine and ship-maintenance facility at Bandar Abbas Naval Base — the first combat use of US Navy sea drones, elaborating on the "one-way attack sea drones" detail already logged in the Jul 12-13 entry above. (7) Oil markets: Brent crude surged roughly 9.6% to settle at $83.30/bbl, its highest settle level since Jun 12, on the tanker attacks and Hormuz uncertainty. (8) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released for this window; the $29B (Hurst, May 12) / $30B (Vought, Jun 30) pairing remains the latest official cumulative cost (see iranWarConfig.js).

via Casualties Tracker

Jul 12, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

CENTCOM strikes ~140 targets (weekly total 300+); IRGC claims widest retaliation of ceasefire era — Jordan, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain; PGSA says Hormuz "not possible"; CENTCOM denies Iranian claim of 3 US KIA

US Central Command struck approximately 140 additional Iranian military targets Jul 12 (air-defense systems, coastal radar, missile/drone capabilities, small boats), using one-way attack sea drones for the first time in the conflict — bringing the week's cumulative target count to 300+ across three nights. Iran's IRGC responded with the widest single-day retaliation claim of the ceasefire era, targeting US-linked sites in five countries: Jordan (Prince Hassan Air Base), Qatar (Al Udeid Air Base), and Oman (Port of Duqm) — named as targets for the first time this cycle — plus renewed claims against Kuwait (Ali Al Salem AB) and Bahrain. Qatar reported 3 injured (incl. a child) by shrapnel and Kuwait reported 1 wounded by falling debris — the first confirmed Gulf-state injuries of this strike cycle; Jordan reported minor damage and no casualties. In Iran, IRNA reported 1 killed (a security guard) and 4 injured in a US strike on a Mahshahr, Khuzestan Province water pumping station. CENTCOM explicitly denied an Iranian propaganda claim that 3 US service members were killed in Kuwait: "There are zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries in the region." Iran's newly formed Persian Gulf Strait Authority said Hormuz transit was "not possible," citing "illegal movements" of US forces; CENTCOM disputed the closure. Brent crude rose to roughly $78.50-78.86/bbl on the escalation.

CENTCOM / Al Jazeera / Times of Israel ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 12, 2026

War Cost

CENTCOM hits ~140 targets, weekly total 300+; IRGC claims widest retaliation of the ceasefire era — Jordan, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain all hit; PGSA says Hormuz "not possible"; CENTCOM denies Iranian claim of 3 US KIA; Brent crude jumps to ~$78.50-78.86; no new official DoD/CBO/CSIS cost figures

July 12-13, 2026. (1) CENTCOM strikes: US Central Command struck approximately 140 additional Iranian military targets Jul 12 — air-defense systems, coastal radar sites, missile/drone capabilities, and small boats, hit by land- and sea-based fighter aircraft, drones, and naval vessels, using one-way attack sea drones for the first time in the conflict. This brought the week's cumulative target count to 300+ across three nights. CENTCOM framed the operation as an effort to "hold Iranian forces accountable" and degrade Iran's ability to threaten Hormuz shipping; Trump told Reuters by phone, "We're beating them up." A further wave of strikes was reported beginning around 5pm ET Jul 12 (2am Gulf time Jul 13). (2) IRGC five-country retaliation claim: Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed a multi-phase retaliatory operation against US-linked military sites in Jordan (Prince Hassan Air Base — command-and-control center, MQ-9 drone hangars), Qatar (Al Udeid Air Base — fighter maintenance/repair center, command-and-control center), and Oman (Port of Duqm — carrier-refueling platforms, logistics infrastructure), plus renewed drone/missile claims against Kuwait (Ali Al Salem AB) and Bahrain (a drone command center) — the first time Jordan and Oman have been named as targets in this post-ceasefire cycle, and the widest single-day IRGC strike claim of the ceasefire era. (3) Casualties: Qatar reported 3 people injured (incl. a child) by shrapnel; Kuwait reported 1 wounded by falling debris after intercepting 3 ballistic missiles, 1 cruise missile, and 10 drones; Jordan reported 3 missiles landed with only minor damage and no casualties. In Iran, IRNA reported 1 killed (a security guard) and 4 injured after a US strike hit an agricultural water pumping station in Mahshahr, Khuzestan Province. (4) CENTCOM explicitly denied Iranian state-media propaganda claiming 3 US service members were killed in Kuwait: "There are zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries in the region." (5) Hormuz status dispute: Iran's newly formed Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) said Sunday Jul 12 that "passage through the Strait of Hormuz was not possible," citing "recent illegal movements" of US military forces; CENTCOM disputed the closure; shipping trackers reported roughly 34 vessels transited versus a normal ~88/day. (6) Oil prices climbed sharply: Brent crude rose to roughly $78.50-78.86/bbl (+3.3-3.75%) and WTI to roughly $73.83-74.02/bbl (+3.4-3.65%) on the escalation. (7) No new Lebanese MoH cumulative figure found beyond 4,322 killed / 12,210 wounded (Jul 11 statement, already logged). (8) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released Jul 12-13. The $29B Pentagon comptroller figure (Hurst, May 12) and the $30B OMB Director Vought testimony (Jun 30) remain the most recent official cumulative-cost figures; the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date; the $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES is unchanged — no official DoD/CSIS/CBO/CRS release ties this escalation to a revised cost figure.

via War Cost Tracker

Jul 12, 2026

Casualties

CENTCOM hits ~140 targets (weekly total 300+); IRGC claims strikes on FIVE Gulf-region countries for first time (Jordan, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain); Mahshahr strike kills 1, injures 4; PGSA says Hormuz "not possible"; CENTCOM denies Iranian claim of 3 US KIA in Kuwait; no new US casualties confirmed

July 12-13, 2026 — the widest single-day IRGC retaliation claim of the ceasefire era. (1) CENTCOM struck approximately 140 additional Iranian military targets (air-defense systems, coastal radar sites, missile/drone capabilities, small boats) using land- and sea-based fighter aircraft, drones, and naval vessels — for the first time in this conflict, CENTCOM also employed one-way attack sea drones. This brought the week's cumulative target count to 300+ across three nights of strikes; CENTCOM framed the strikes as an effort to "hold Iranian forces accountable" and degrade Iran's ability to threaten Hormuz shipping. President Trump told Reuters by phone: "We're beating them up." A further wave of CENTCOM strikes was reported beginning around 5pm ET Jul 12 (2am Gulf time Jul 13). (2) IRGC retaliation across five countries: Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed a multi-phase retaliatory operation striking US-linked military sites in Jordan (Prince Hassan Air Base — command-and-control center and MQ-9 drone hangars, per IRGC), Qatar (Al Udeid Air Base — fighter aircraft maintenance/repair center and command-and-control center), and Oman (Port of Duqm — carrier-refueling platforms and logistics infrastructure, "heavy and surprise" per IRGC), plus renewed drone/missile claims against Kuwait (Ali Al Salem Air Base, radar, HIMARS launchers) and Bahrain (a US drone command center). This is the first time Jordan and Oman have been named as targets in the post-ceasefire strike cycle. (3) Civilian injuries in Gulf states: Qatar reported 3 people injured (including a child) by falling shrapnel; Kuwait reported 1 person wounded by falling debris after intercepting 3 ballistic missiles, 1 cruise missile, and 10 drones; Jordan reported 3 missiles landed on its territory causing only minor damage, with no casualties. (4) CENTCOM explicitly denied an Iranian propaganda claim that 3 US service members were killed by Iranian strikes in Kuwait: "There are zero reports of U.S. service member deaths or injuries in the region." (5) Iranian casualty: Iran's IRNA reported 1 person killed (a security guard) and 4 injured after a US strike hit an agricultural water pumping station in Mahshahr, Khuzestan Province. (6) Hormuz status dispute: Iran's newly created Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) said Sunday Jul 12 that "passage through the Strait of Hormuz was not possible," citing "recent illegal movements" of US military forces; CENTCOM disputed the closure, and shipping trackers reported roughly 34 vessels transited versus a normal ~88/day. (7) Oil prices climbed sharply on the escalation: Brent crude rose to roughly $78.50-78.86/bbl (+3.3-3.75%) and WTI to roughly $73.83-74.02/bbl (+3.4-3.65%). (8) No new Lebanese MoH cumulative figure found beyond 4,322 killed / 12,210 wounded (Jul 11 statement, already logged). (9) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released; the $29B (Hurst, May 12) / $30B (Vought, Jun 30) pairing remains the latest official cumulative cost, and the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date.

via Casualties Tracker

Jul 11, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

IRGC attacks Cyprus-flagged M/V GFS Galaxy for using "unauthorized route" in Hormuz; declares Strait "closed until further notice"; CENTCOM launches third US strike round of the week on Bandar Abbas, Qeshm, and Sirik

Iran's IRGC Navy fired a "warning shot" at the Cyprus-flagged container ship M/V GFS Galaxy (IMO 9401271) as it transited the Strait of Hormuz on what Iran called an "unauthorized"/"unapproved" route (Tehran is demanding vessels use a northern route through its territorial waters rather than the US-protected southern route along Oman's coast). The strike sparked an engine-room fire and caused "significant" damage per CENTCOM, disabling the vessel; one civilian crew member was reported missing. Iran's IRGC Navy then announced the Strait of Hormuz would be "closed until further notice" — the most sweeping closure declaration since June 11. At 7:15pm ET, CENTCOM began launching a third round of US strikes against Iran this week (following the Jul 8 ~80-target and Jul 9 ~90-target rounds), with Iranian state media reporting explosions at Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island, and Sirik. CENTCOM said Iran had been "given yet another opportunity to demonstrate adherence to the Memorandum of Understanding...but has again failed" and that the US "is imposing a heavy cost by continuing to degrade Iran's ability to attack civilian mariners and commercial ships freely transiting the strait." No specific target count was published for this round as of this update, and no IRGC retaliation claim (e.g., a new Kuwait/Bahrain strike claim) specific to this round was found; no casualty figures were released by either side for this incident. This is the 18th distinct US-Iran direct strike incident logged since the Apr 8 ceasefire.

CNBC / The Hill / CENTCOM ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 11, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

Trump threatens to "decimate" Iran if assassinated, cites "1,000 Missiles Locked and Loaded"; Treasury sanctions Iranian financier Ali Ansari; new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's first public message vows revenge is "inevitable"

After chants calling for Trump's killing were reported at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's Mashhad funeral proceedings, President Trump posted on Truth Social that "1,000 Missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands of more to immediately follow," should Iran act on the threat, adding that he has given orders for the US military to be "ready, willing, and able, for a one year period of time, subject to extension, to completely decimate and destroy all areas of Iran" in the event of his death. The same day, the US Treasury sanctioned Iranian financial facilitator Ali Ansari, described as overseeing a network of assets benefiting new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and other regime elites; Iran said the measure violated the Islamabad MOU. Separately, Mojtaba Khamenei — who has not appeared in public since being named Supreme Leader after his father's Feb 28 assassination, consistent with prior reporting of disfiguring facial and leg injuries — issued his first public message following the burial, thanking mourners and stating that "vengeance...is the demand of our nation and must inevitably/certainly be carried out," without specifying timing or method. No new kinetic incident is associated with this exchange of rhetoric.

CNBC / NPR / Al Jazeera ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 11, 2026

Ceasefire

Araghchi-Oman FM Muscat talks on Hormuz management inconclusive; Oman proposes two-corridor plan (Southern free navigation, Northern requiring Iranian approval, no tolls); Iran had previously rejected the split-corridor approach

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi met Omani Foreign Minister Badr Al Busaidi in Muscat to discuss "appropriate mechanisms for the safe transit of ships through the Strait of Hormuz" under Article 5 of the Islamabad MOU, following the Jul 11 GFS Galaxy attack and Iran's Hormuz closure declaration. Per CNN, Oman had drafted a proposal to manage strait traffic through two separately controlled routes: a "Southern Corridor" through Omani territorial waters allowing free navigation under pre-war conditions, and a "Northern Corridor" through Iranian territorial waters requiring prior Iranian approval, though no tolls would be charged under either. Iran had reportedly rejected this split-corridor concept in earlier discussions, instead insisting on a single management mechanism jointly administered by Oman and Iran. No resolution was announced from the Muscat meeting, which fell well short of the Trump administration's demand that Iran publicly declare the Strait fully open with safe passage guaranteed for all vessels.

CNN / Al Jazeera / Oman Observer ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 11, 2026

War Cost

Trump: Iran asked to continue talks, US agreed, but ceasefire "OVER"; US demands Iran publicly declare Hormuz open to all vessels; Hormuz traffic mixed (LNG/Japan-linked vessels resuming, oil tankers near standstill); reported Jul 11 Pakistan talks unconfirmed; no new DoD/CBO/CSIS cost figures

July 11, 2026 — (1) Ceasefire status: President Trump posted on Truth Social that "The Islamic Republic of Iran has asked us to continue 'talks.' We have agreed to do so. But the United States has stated to them, in no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER!" — confirming Iran requested continued negotiations even as Trump maintains his Jul 8 declaration that the ceasefire itself has ended. (2) Hormuz demand: Al Jazeera's Jul 11 liveblog reported Washington is pushing for a public Iranian statement that the Strait of Hormuz is open to all vessels and that Iran will not fire on commercial shipping; Iran's Foreign Ministry said any US breach of its MOU commitments would be met with "reciprocal action." (3) Hormuz shipping remains mixed: per gCaptain, LNG and Japan-linked vessel traffic has partially resumed (reportedly 22 Japan-linked vessels left the Gulf since Tuesday), while a separate gCaptain report described oil tanker traffic through the Strait as "near standstill" following the Jul 7-9 attacks and CENTCOM strikes; the Qatari LNG carrier Al Rekayyat (struck Jul 7) remains stationary awaiting salvage after an engine-room fire. (4) Diplomacy: unconfirmed reports circulating since Jul 4-5 (via Al Arabiya) suggested a new round of US-Iran talks covering sanctions, frozen assets, and the nuclear file could convene in Pakistan on Jul 11; as of this update, none of Washington, Tehran, or Islamabad had officially confirmed such a meeting occurred or its outcome. (5) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released Jul 11. The $29B Pentagon comptroller figure (Hurst, May 12) and the $30B OMB Director Vought testimony (Jun 30, surfaced Jul 7) remain the most recent official cumulative-cost figures; the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date; the $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES is unchanged.

via War Cost Tracker

Jul 11, 2026

War Cost

Trump-Khamenei threat exchange; IRGC strikes Cyprus-flagged ship, closes Hormuz "until further notice"; CENTCOM launches third round of strikes this week; UAE/Bahrain/Qatar report Iranian fire; Oman drafts unapproved two-corridor Hormuz plan; no new official DoD/CBO/CSIS cost figures

July 11-12, 2026 — the most serious rupture since Trump's Jul 8 "ceasefire is over" declaration, with five distinct developments. (1) Trump-Khamenei threat exchange: after reported open calls for Trump's assassination at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's funeral, Trump posted on Truth Social that "1000 Missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands of more to immediately follow" should Iran act on any such threat, vowing the US would "completely decimate and destroy all areas of Iran." Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei (son of the slain Ali Khamenei, himself wounded in the war's opening strikes) responded on X, pledging Iranians "will take revenge for the pure blood of the martyred leader." (2) Muscat diplomacy: Iranian FM Araghchi met Oman's FM Busaidi in Muscat Saturday Jul 11 on Hormuz safe-passage mechanisms under MOU Article 5; talks concluded with little concretely decided beyond continuing technical/political-level negotiations. Oman separately drafted a two-corridor proposal — a Southern Corridor through Omani waters with free, pre-war-condition navigation, and a Northern Corridor through Iranian waters requiring prior Iranian approval but no tolls — which Araghchi's delegation did not approve on the spot, taking it back to Tehran. (3) Ship attack and Hormuz closure: hours later, IRGC naval forces fired on and struck the Cyprus-flagged container ship M/V GFS Galaxy transiting the Strait — Iran said the vessel was on an "unapproved route" with its tracking systems switched off; the ship suffered an onboard fire and major engine-room damage, with one civilian crew member missing. The IRGC then declared the Strait of Hormuz "closed until further notice and until the end of US intervention in the region," warning that any US response would be met with strikes on "additional enemy bases in the region." (4) Third round of CENTCOM strikes: at 7:15pm ET Jul 11, CENTCOM began a third round of strikes against Iran this week, with Iranian state media reporting explosions in Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Qeshm Island, Bushehr, Chabahar, and Asaluyeh; Defense Secretary Hegseth posted "Iran made a poor choice. Now they pay," and CENTCOM said Iran had been given a chance to demonstrate MOU adherence and "again failed." (5) Gulf states report renewed attacks: the UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar all reported coming under Iranian fire after the CENTCOM strikes — Abu Dhabi's defense ministry said its air defenses were engaging missiles and drones from Iran (the first time the UAE has been named as a target in this ceasefire-violation cycle), Bahrain's interior ministry reported sirens in Manama, and Qatar's government issued a mobile security alert after booms were heard in Doha. No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released Jul 11-12. The $29B Pentagon comptroller figure (Hurst, May 12) and the $30B OMB Director Vought testimony (Jun 30) remain the most recent official cumulative-cost figures; the $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24) remains pending in Congress with no confirmed markup/vote date; the $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES is unchanged — no official DoD/CSIS/CBO/CRS release ties this escalation to a revised cost figure.

via War Cost Tracker

Jul 11, 2026

Casualties

IRGC strikes Cyprus-flagged ship GFS Galaxy, 1 crew missing; Iran declares Hormuz "closed until further notice"; CENTCOM launches third round of strikes; Iran Health Ministry toll rises to 17 killed/115 injured; Lebanese MoH toll 4,322 killed

July 11-12, 2026 — the ceasefire's most serious rupture since the Jul 8-9 exchange. (1) IRGC strikes GFS Galaxy: Iran's Revolutionary Guards navy fired on the Cyprus-flagged container ship M/V GFS Galaxy as it transited the Strait of Hormuz via what Iran called an "unauthorized route," causing an onboard fire and significant engine-room damage; the crew abandoned ship into a lifeboat, and one civilian crew member (nationality undisclosed) is missing. (2) Hormuz declared closed: Iran's IRGC navy declared the Strait of Hormuz "closed until further notice" and until "the end of US interference in this region," warning any retaliation would be met with a "severe response." (3) Third round of CENTCOM strikes: at 7:15pm ET Jul 11, US Central Command began a third round of strikes against Iran this week, hitting air-surveillance radars, missile/drone storage and launch sites, surface-surveillance radars, and SAM launchers; explosions were reported in Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Chabahar, Bandar-e Deyr, and Asaluyeh. (4) UAE, Bahrain, and Qatar reported Iranian missile/drone attacks on Jul 11 — UAE air defenses "actively engaging," sirens sounding in Bahrain and Doha — with no casualties confirmed in any of the three states; Kuwait's Defense Ministry separately reported 1 person injured (stable) from the earlier Jul 9 drone retaliation. (5) Iran's Health Ministry raised its combined casualty figure for the Jul 7-9 strike sequence to 17 killed / 115 injured across six cities (up from 14/78, Jul 9-10 figure). (6) Lebanese MoH cumulative toll rose to 4,322 killed / 12,210 wounded since Mar 2 (up from 4,321/12,203, Jul 8 statement), per a Jul 11 statement. (7) No new confirmed US KIA/WIA/MIA from this exchange; no new CENTCOM casualty press release. No new official DoD/Pentagon/CBO/CSIS cumulative cost figures.

via Casualties Tracker

Jul 10, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

CENTCOM Jul 8-9 strikes confirmed to have hit China-Russia rail corridor bridge; Trump: Iran "asked us to continue 'talks'," US agreed, but ceasefire "OVER"; Qatari delegation visits Tehran; Treasury formally reimposes oil sanctions; IMO Council condemns Iran Hormuz claims; Ghalibaf vows "all-out defense"

July 10, 2026 — new detail emerged on the Jul 8-9 CENTCOM strike package and diplomacy resumed at the margins even as Trump reiterated the ceasefire is over. (1) Rail infrastructure: Iranian state media (Fars) and multiple outlets confirmed a US cruise-missile strike destroyed/damaged the Aq Tekeh Khan (also reported as Ogtay Khan) rail bridge near Aqqala, Golestan province — on the international freight line to Turkmenistan and part of the wider rail corridor linking Iran to China and Russia; a separate strike hit a bridge on the Tehran-Mashhad line, forcing Iran to suspend passenger rail service between the two cities. These are the first reported US strikes on Iranian civil/rail infrastructure since the Apr 8 ceasefire. (2) Trump statement: on Truth Social, Trump wrote "The Islamic Republic of Iran has asked us to continue 'talks.' We have agreed to do so, but the United States has stated to them, in no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER!" Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman denied requesting new negotiations, saying Tehran had only agreed to receive a Qatari mediation delegation. (3) Qatari mediation: a Qatari government delegation flew to Tehran (Tasnim: aircraft on the ground roughly 06:56-11:26 UTC, about 4.5 hours) to consolidate Doha's mediating role after the Hormuz tanker attacks and the ensuing US strikes; both sides described the visit as aimed at de-escalation and resuming broader talks. (4) Sanctions: the US Treasury formally reimposed sanctions on Iranian oil exports, confirming the Jul 7 revocation of General License X. (5) IMO/Hormuz: the International Maritime Organization Council adopted a non-binding resolution "strongly condemning" Iran's newly declared "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" and calling on member states not to recognize any Iranian claim of sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz or Iranian interference with transit passage; separately, senior US officials said they expect Iran to publicly declare the Strait open and pledge no further attacks on shipping, warning that nuclear talks can "never" proceed without it — Iran's UN envoy responded that any decision on opening or demining the Strait "rests exclusively with Iran." Shipping trackers reported no vessel over 10,000 dwt had transited the Oman-hugging "Southern Highway" with AIS on since Jul 7, and PortWatch's last published count (Jul 5) showed 34 transits versus an 88/day pre-crisis baseline. (6) Iran posture: parliament speaker and lead negotiator Ghalibaf said Tehran is ready for "all-out defense" and stated the war "will never end with Iran's capitulation," adding Iran has "zero trust" in the US. (7) No new confirmed direct US-Iran kinetic strike was reported for Jul 10 itself — a lull held through the day. No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cumulative cost figure was released; no new Lebanese MoH toll figure beyond 4,321 killed (Jul 8/9, per Daily Yemen).

Arab News / Al Arabiya English / Middle East Monitor ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 10, 2026

Casualties

US demands Iran publicly declare Hormuz open to all shipping; traceable Hormuz traffic grinds to a halt; no new casualty figures

No new US-Iran kinetic strikes and no new casualty figures for any side/category were confirmed Jul 10-11, 2026. Diplomatically, US officials demanded Iran issue a public statement that the Strait of Hormuz is open to all shipping and that Iranian forces will not target transiting civilian vessels, warning of consequences if Tehran does not comply. Separately, traceable large-vessel crossings via the US-coordinated, Oman-hugging Hormuz route reportedly ground to a halt after the Jul 6-9 tanker attacks and strike exchange, with no large vessel crossing that route while broadcasting its location since Jul 7. Qatari mediators continued meeting Iranian officials to try to de-escalate and set conditions for renewed talks.

via Casualties Tracker

Jul 9, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

Khamenei buried at Imam Reza shrine, Mashhad, concluding six-day state funeral; ceasefire status remains "over" per Trump; no confirmed new US-Iran kinetic strikes reported yet for this date; Lebanese MoH toll 4,320 killed

Iran's assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei (killed Feb 28, 2026) was buried Thursday, Jul 9, 2026, at the Imam Reza shrine in Mashhad — his hometown and one of Shia Islam's holiest sites — concluding a six-day, five-city state funeral (Tehran Jul 3-6, Qom Jul 7, Najaf and Karbala, Iraq Jul 7-8, burial Mashhad Jul 9) that drew a reported combined total in the tens of millions. Iraq had declared Jul 8 a public holiday for the Najaf procession, where more than two million reportedly gathered. New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remained unseen in public throughout the funeral period, consistent with prior reporting of a disfiguring facial and leg injury from the Feb 28 strike. On the ceasefire/security track, President Trump's Jul 8 declaration that the interim agreement is "over" remained the operative US position as of this update, following the second wave of CENTCOM strikes on Chabahar/Konarak and Iran's reported 8 air/navy personnel killed and its claimed 85-site retaliation on US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait (see prior entry). Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health reported the cumulative toll from Israeli strikes since Mar 2 at 4,320 killed / 12,203 wounded, per a statement issued Jul 8 covering through Jul 7 — up from 4,304 killed / 12,203 wounded (Jul 7). No new confirmed direct US-Iran kinetic strikes specific to Jul 9 itself were located as of this update beyond the overnight Jul 8-9 Chabahar/Konarak exchange already logged; no new official DoD/Pentagon/CBO/CSIS cumulative cost figure was released. GOTCHA FOR ORCHESTRATOR (repeated from Jul 8 entry): per the known iran-tracker.ts limitation, the "ceasefire active" status keys off the Apr 8, 2026 date and will NOT automatically reflect Trump's Jul 8 "ceasefire is over" declaration or the renewed strikes — flag for manual review, do not silently patch the tracker script.

IranWire / Al Jazeera / Middle East Monitor ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 9, 2026

Ceasefireescalation

CENTCOM completes third round of strikes (~90 Iranian targets) after "ceasefire over" declaration; Iran Health Ministry confirms 14 killed, 78 injured across 5 provinces from Jul 8-9 strikes; IRGC drones hit Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain; Lebanese MoH toll rises to 4,321

A further, distinct round of US strikes on Iran was completed Jul 9, 2026, separate from the overnight Jul 8-9 Chabahar/Konarak wave already logged: CENTCOM said its forces struck approximately 90 Iranian military targets — air defense systems, coastal surveillance assets, missile and drone storage sites, naval capabilities, and military logistics infrastructure along Iran's coastline — "to further degrade" Tehran's ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. This followed the Jul 8 ~80-target strike package. In direct retaliation the same day, Iran's military said it launched attack drones against sites in Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain — the first time Qatar has been named as a target in this exchange (prior IRGC claims cited only Bahrain and Kuwait); no casualties were reported in any of the three states. Separately, Iran's Health Ministry (spokesperson Hossein Kermanpour) confirmed for the first time an official casualty count tied to the Jul 8-9 strikes: 14 people killed and 78 injured (47 still hospitalized) across five Iranian provinces — this is within the existing disputed aggregate ranges already carried in iranWarCasualtiesConfig.js and does not by itself change those ranges, but it is the first Ministry-sourced figure specifically dated to this exchange (previously only IRNA/Fars' narrower "8 IRGC air/navy personnel" figure was available). Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health separately reported the cumulative Lebanon-theater toll rose to 4,321 killed (up 1 from 4,320) in a statement covering through Jul 8. No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cumulative war-cost figure was released tied to this exchange. Trump's Jul 8 "ceasefire is over" declaration remains the operative US position.

Bloomberg / OANN / Middle East Monitor / Euronews ↗via Ceasefire Status

Jul 9, 2026

War Cost

No new official Pentagon/DoD/CBO/CSIS cost release; CENTCOM completes further ~90-target strike round distinct from Jul 8-9 Chabahar/Konarak wave; Iran Health Ministry confirms 14 killed/78 injured across 5 provinces; Iran retaliates with drones on Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain; Lebanese MoH toll 4,321

July 9, 2026 — (1) No new official Pentagon, DoD, CBO, or CSIS cumulative war-cost figures were released. The $29B Pentagon comptroller figure (Hurst, May 12), the $30B OMB Director Vought testimony (Jun 30, surfaced Jul 7), and the pending $87.6B supplemental (submitted Jun 24, no confirmed markup/vote date) remain the most recent official figures; $95M/day ceasefire-standby rate in COST_PHASES unchanged. (2) CENTCOM completed a further, distinct round of strikes on Iran — approximately 90 targets (air defense systems, coastal surveillance assets, missile/drone storage sites, naval capabilities, and logistics infrastructure along Iran's coastline) — separate from the overnight Jul 8-9 Chabahar/Konarak wave already logged in the prior entry; this followed Trump's Jul 8 "ceasefire is over" declaration and the Jul 8 ~80-target strike. (3) Iran's Health Ministry (spokesperson Hossein Kermanpour) confirmed, for the first time, an official casualty count tied to the two days of strikes: 14 killed and 78 injured (47 still hospitalized) across five Iranian provinces. (4) In direct retaliation, Iran's military said it launched attack drones against sites in Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain — the first time Qatar has been named as a target in this exchange; no casualties reported in any of the three states. (5) Lebanon's Ministry of Public Health reported the cumulative toll rose to 4,321 killed (up 1 from 4,320), per a statement issued Jul 8. (6) No official dollar figure has been attached by CENTCOM or DoD to the Jul 8-9 strike sequence as of this update, so COST_PHASES/CEASEFIRE_DAILY are unchanged — flagged for a future update if DoD releases a supplemental-cost estimate tied to this episode's munitions expenditure.

via War Cost Tracker

Related trackers

Ceasefire Status

Is the war over? Live status of the April 8 ceasefire.

War Cost Tracker

Live running cost of Operation Epic Fury to US taxpayers.

Casualties Tracker

US, Iran, Lebanon, and civilian casualty figures.

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